Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.876050 14.518969 16.409850 18.775656 21.698213 25.248301 29.981233
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.842666 12.822588 15.281726 18.644314 23.266640 29.640764 39.594364
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.563416 11.666647 14.415292 18.415341 24.368348 33.451632 49.743807
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.724526 10.903397 13.867801 18.407933 25.641040 37.742431 62.645740
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.152461 10.402061 13.571960 18.654980 27.286083 43.104234 80.866150
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.481173 9.678411 12.848602 18.095929 27.420970 45.718420 95.006328
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.050902 9.251818 12.505897 18.075411 28.474499 50.522519 119.435253
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.545833 8.668734 11.858299 17.440990 28.224076 52.385408 137.106482
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.038487 8.044452 11.089795 16.498672 27.184280 52.049641 146.836841
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.627806 7.539793 10.471407 15.752285 26.417345 52.190091 159.465814
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.771966 7.890978 11.258730 17.649682 31.686574 71.186156 319.283987
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.723235 7.933788 11.535768 18.630499 35.220881 88.039465 598.216201
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.352707 7.452907 10.902446 17.779441 34.199219 88.779043 720.753779
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.125575 7.191918 10.633739 17.644156 35.025184 97.671541 1184.860134
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.908489 6.933216 10.346888 17.431988 35.601017 106.256514 2118.343955
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.739552 6.743501 10.167607 17.425019 36.765459 119.141221 5759.166995
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.615659 6.621095 10.099852 17.652310 38.708134 139.171914 109885.321761
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.407226 6.343659 9.724006 17.137745 38.213012 144.077645 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.275323 6.190461 9.570828 17.118847 39.338775 162.264083 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.085394 5.928182 9.193942 16.534083 38.424057 164.125199 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.873102 5.619341 8.713181 15.663910 36.374842 155.010023 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.693073 5.360837 8.318420 14.973269 34.863221 149.813347 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.798373 5.604269 8.906611 16.726535 42.675534 252.788730 NaN